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League One
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Oxford Utd vs Stevenage Prediction & Win Probability

Oxford Utd has a 50% chance to win.

3-2-1 · Rating 1476
Form: DWWLW
VS
2-3-2 · Rating 1436
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stevenage

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.5%4.0%15.6%9.2%
If Win 2.0%5.8%20.1%6.2%
If Draw 1.0%3.3%15.7%9.1%
If Lose <1%2.6%13.7%11.1%

Oxford Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 15.9%29.0%34.6%1.1%
If Win 18.5%31.9%36.1%<1%
If Draw 13.6%26.2%34.7%1.1%
If Lose 10.5%21.3%34.6%1.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Oxford UtdStatStevenage
6Games played7
2.2Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded1.1
50% / 33% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 43% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Oxford UtdStatStevenage
4All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.7Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Stevenage 1–2 Oxford Utd