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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Derby vs Middlesbrough

Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 43% chance to win.
League One
Tue, Mar 16, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
League One
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
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vs
Model Probability
30%
Draw 27%
43%
League One
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatMiddlesbrough
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored2.0
2.0Avg goals conceded1.3
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 33% / 13%
12% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
DerbyStatMiddlesbrough
8All-time wins (27 meetings, 7 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough

Recent Results

Derby

vs Bolton
Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
vs Norwich
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0–4
@ Millwall
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
@ Sheffield Utd
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Stoke
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1

Middlesbrough

@ Watford
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Wrexham
Wed, Nov 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
vs Charlton
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ Bolton
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5–1
vs Cardiff
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2