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League One
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 52% chance to win.

5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatDerby
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored0.9
0.8Avg goals conceded1.8
62% / 25% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatDerby
6All-time wins (16 meetings, 4 draws)6
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Derby 0–3 Swansea