Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-06 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 67% | |
| 2026-03-01 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 62% | |
| 2025-11-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 41% | |
| 2025-03-16 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 60% | |
| 2024-11-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2024-04-23 | 5–0 | Arsenal +5 | Arsenal 60% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 2–2 | Draw | Arsenal 44% | |
| 2023-05-02 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 62% | |
| 2022-11-06 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Chelsea 43% | |
| 2022-04-20 | 2–4 | Arsenal +2 | Chelsea 59% | |
| 2021-08-22 | 0–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 37% | |
| 2021-05-12 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Chelsea 58% | |
| 2020-12-26 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Chelsea 39% | |
| 2020-01-21 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 51% | |
| 2019-12-29 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2019-01-19 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2018-08-18 | 3–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 50% | |
| 2018-01-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 38% | |
| 2017-09-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 55% | |
| 2017-02-04 | 3–1 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2016-09-24 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 51% | |
| 2016-01-24 | 0–1 | Chelsea +1 | Arsenal 51% | |
| 2015-09-19 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 43% | |
| 2015-04-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 40% | |
| 2014-10-05 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 54% | |
| 2014-03-22 | 6–0 | Chelsea +6 | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2013-12-23 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 44% | |
| 2013-01-20 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2012-09-29 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Arsenal 45% | |
| 2012-04-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 40% | |
| 2011-10-29 | 3–5 | Arsenal +2 | Chelsea 52% | |
| 2010-12-27 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 41% | |
| 2010-10-03 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 55% | |
| 2010-02-07 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 49% |