Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 72% | |
| 2024-09-28 | 4–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 76% | |
| 2023-02-25 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 46% | |
| 2022-08-13 | 4–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 54% | |
| 2022-03-13 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 57% | |
| 2021-10-30 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Leicester 40% | |
| 2021-02-28 | 1–3 | Arsenal +2 | Leicester 45% | |
| 2020-10-25 | 0–1 | Leicester +1 | Arsenal 54% | |
| 2020-07-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 47% | |
| 2019-11-09 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 43% | |
| 2019-04-28 | 3–0 | Leicester +3 | Arsenal 43% | |
| 2018-10-22 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 58% | |
| 2018-05-09 | 3–1 | Leicester +2 | Arsenal 42% | |
| 2017-08-11 | 4–3 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 61% | |
| 2017-04-26 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 59% | |
| 2016-08-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 37% | |
| 2016-02-14 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 2–5 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 41% | |
| 2015-02-10 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 72% | |
| 2014-08-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 48% |