Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-25 | 2–3 | Manchester Utd +1 | Arsenal 71% | |
| 2025-08-17 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 45% | |
| 2025-03-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 53% | |
| 2024-05-12 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 51% | |
| 2023-09-03 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 47% | |
| 2023-01-22 | 3–2 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 51% | |
| 2022-09-04 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2022-04-23 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 47% | |
| 2021-12-02 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 45% | |
| 2021-01-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2020-11-01 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Manchester Utd 47% | |
| 2020-01-01 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 40% | |
| 2019-09-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2019-03-10 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2018-12-05 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 42% | |
| 2018-04-29 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 56% | |
| 2017-12-02 | 1–3 | Manchester Utd +2 | Arsenal 39% | |
| 2017-05-07 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 39% | |
| 2016-11-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 40% | |
| 2016-02-28 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 36% | |
| 2015-10-04 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 45% | |
| 2015-05-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 37% | |
| 2014-11-22 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Arsenal 48% | |
| 2014-02-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 46% | |
| 2013-11-10 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 45% | |
| 2013-04-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 38% | |
| 2012-11-03 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 57% | |
| 2012-01-22 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2011-08-28 | 8–2 | Manchester Utd +6 | Manchester Utd 59% | |
| 2011-05-01 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Manchester Utd 41% | |
| 2010-12-13 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 50% | |
| 2010-01-31 | 1–3 | Manchester Utd +2 | Arsenal 44% |