Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-23 | 4–0 | Brighton +4 | Brighton 37% | |
| 2026-02-11 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 55% | |
| 2025-12-03 | 3–4 | Aston Villa +1 | Brighton 43% | |
| 2025-04-02 | 0–3 | Aston Villa +3 | Brighton 44% | |
| 2024-12-30 | 2–2 | Draw | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2024-05-05 | 1–0 | Brighton +1 | Aston Villa 41% | |
| 2023-09-30 | 6–1 | Aston Villa +5 | Aston Villa 45% | |
| 2023-05-28 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 39% | |
| 2022-11-13 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Brighton 55% | |
| 2022-02-26 | 0–2 | Aston Villa +2 | Brighton 47% | |
| 2021-11-20 | 2–0 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2021-02-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Brighton 40% | |
| 2020-11-21 | 1–2 | Brighton +1 | Aston Villa 47% | |
| 2020-01-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Brighton 49% | |
| 2019-10-19 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2017-05-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Brighton 39% | |
| 2016-11-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Brighton 53% |