Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 1–2 | Nottingham +1 | Aston Villa 54% | |
| 2026-04-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 43% | |
| 2026-01-03 | 3–1 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 65% | |
| 2025-04-05 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 45% | |
| 2024-12-14 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 40% | |
| 2024-02-24 | 4–2 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 63% | |
| 2023-11-05 | 2–0 | Nottingham +2 | Aston Villa 42% | |
| 2023-04-08 | 2–0 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 59% | |
| 2022-10-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 37% | |
| 2019-03-13 | 1–3 | Aston Villa +2 | Nottingham 43% | |
| 2018-11-28 | 5–5 | Draw | Aston Villa 47% | |
| 2018-01-13 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 37% | |
| 2017-09-23 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 47% | |
| 2017-02-04 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 39% | |
| 2016-09-11 | 2–2 | Draw | Aston Villa 45% |