Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-02-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 43% | |
| 2018-12-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Aston Villa 43% | |
| 2016-02-27 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 64% | |
| 2015-10-03 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 39% | |
| 2015-02-21 | 1–2 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 39% | |
| 2014-08-16 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Stoke 54% | |
| 2014-03-23 | 1–4 | Stoke +3 | Aston Villa 43% | |
| 2013-12-21 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 44% | |
| 2013-04-06 | 1–3 | Aston Villa +2 | Stoke 47% | |
| 2012-12-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2012-04-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 45% | |
| 2011-12-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 44% | |
| 2011-04-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 40% | |
| 2010-09-13 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 44% | |
| 2010-03-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 41% |