Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | 0–2 | Lincoln +2 | Lincoln 37% | |
| 2025-12-09 | 3–1 | Lincoln +2 | Lincoln 49% | |
| 2025-03-01 | 4–3 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 45% | |
| 2024-08-17 | 1–2 | Barnsley +1 | Lincoln 46% | |
| 2024-03-09 | 1–5 | Lincoln +4 | Barnsley 53% | |
| 2023-11-25 | 2–2 | Draw | Lincoln 41% | |
| 2023-04-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Barnsley 41% | |
| 2022-10-25 | 0–1 | Lincoln +1 | Barnsley 48% |