Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 48% | |
| 2026-04-25 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 45% | |
| 2025-10-25 | 1–0 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 52% | |
| 2023-12-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Bristol City 39% | |
| 2023-08-19 | 0–2 | Birmingham +2 | Bristol City 52% | |
| 2023-01-14 | 4–2 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 48% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 3–0 | Birmingham +3 | Bristol City 39% | |
| 2022-03-05 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Bristol City 47% | |
| 2021-11-02 | 3–0 | Birmingham +3 | Birmingham 40% | |
| 2021-03-13 | 0–3 | Bristol City +3 | Bristol City 38% | |
| 2020-12-05 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Bristol City 58% | |
| 2020-02-07 | 1–3 | Birmingham +2 | Bristol City 52% | |
| 2019-08-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 42% | |
| 2019-02-26 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Bristol City 51% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 0–1 | Bristol City +1 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2018-04-10 | 3–1 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 60% | |
| 2017-08-12 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Bristol City 36% | |
| 2017-05-07 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Bristol City 52% | |
| 2016-11-19 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2016-01-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 43% | |
| 2015-09-12 | 4–2 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 52% | |
| 2013-04-16 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 41% | |
| 2012-11-06 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 55% | |
| 2012-04-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 68% | |
| 2011-10-23 | 0–2 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 44% |