Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-08 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-01 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 50% | |
| 2025-12-01 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2024-03-16 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2023-09-16 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Watford 48% | |
| 2023-03-14 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 53% | |
| 2022-08-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 42% | |
| 2021-03-20 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 79% | |
| 2020-12-12 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 57% | |
| 2015-04-18 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 64% | |
| 2014-11-04 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Watford 46% | |
| 2014-02-11 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 47% | |
| 2013-08-03 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Birmingham 44% | |
| 2013-02-16 | 0–4 | Watford +4 | Birmingham 39% | |
| 2012-08-25 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Birmingham 36% | |
| 2012-01-21 | 3–0 | Birmingham +3 | Birmingham 59% | |
| 2011-08-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Birmingham 37% |