Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 1–0 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 42% | |
| 2026-04-11 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2025-10-25 | 1–0 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 36% | |
| 2018-02-13 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 59% | |
| 2017-12-23 | 2–0 | Bolton +2 | Cardiff 48% | |
| 2016-04-23 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 66% | |
| 2015-12-05 | 2–3 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 38% | |
| 2015-04-06 | 0–3 | Bolton +3 | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2014-11-04 | 3–0 | Bolton +3 | Cardiff 38% | |
| 2013-04-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 47% | |
| 2012-11-03 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 40% |