Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-21 | 3–1 | Bolton +2 | Liverpool 50% | |
| 2011-08-27 | 3–1 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 50% | |
| 2011-01-01 | 2–1 | Liverpool +1 | Liverpool 41% | |
| 2010-10-31 | 0–1 | Liverpool +1 | Bolton 44% | |
| 2010-01-30 | 2–0 | Liverpool +2 | Liverpool 47% |