Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-14 | 5–0 | Bolton +5 | Bolton 59% | |
| 2022-09-13 | 0–2 | Bolton +2 | MK Dons 45% | |
| 2022-02-26 | 2–0 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 50% | |
| 2021-08-07 | 3–3 | Draw | Bolton 39% | |
| 2020-02-22 | 1–0 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 51% | |
| 2019-11-16 | 1–0 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 48% | |
| 2017-02-04 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 36% | |
| 2016-09-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 45% | |
| 2016-01-23 | 3–1 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 40% | |
| 2015-08-18 | 1–0 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 45% |