Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Bolton 44% | |
| 2025-12-26 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 53% | |
| 2025-04-08 | 0–1 | Rotherham +1 | Bolton 53% | |
| 2025-01-11 | 3–1 | Rotherham +2 | Rotherham 40% | |
| 2022-01-01 | 2–1 | Rotherham +1 | Rotherham 65% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 0–2 | Rotherham +2 | Bolton 37% | |
| 2019-09-14 | 6–1 | Rotherham +5 | Rotherham 54% | |
| 2018-12-26 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 41% | |
| 2018-10-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Rotherham 41% | |
| 2016-02-06 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 43% | |
| 2015-12-26 | 4–0 | Rotherham +4 | Rotherham 45% | |
| 2015-01-27 | 4–2 | Rotherham +2 | Bolton 38% | |
| 2014-09-16 | 3–2 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 47% |