Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-02-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 37% | |
| 2024-10-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Bristol City 52% | |
| 2024-03-02 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Bristol City 54% | |
| 2023-10-28 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 44% | |
| 2023-03-04 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Bristol City 37% | |
| 2022-08-21 | 2–0 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 47% | |
| 2022-01-22 | 3–2 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 44% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 1–2 | Bristol City +1 | Cardiff 52% | |
| 2021-02-06 | 0–2 | Cardiff +2 | Bristol City 45% | |
| 2020-11-06 | 0–1 | Bristol City +1 | Cardiff 45% | |
| 2020-07-04 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Bristol City 41% | |
| 2019-11-10 | 0–1 | Bristol City +1 | Cardiff 44% | |
| 2018-02-25 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 46% | |
| 2017-11-04 | 2–1 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 48% | |
| 2017-01-14 | 2–3 | Cardiff +1 | Bristol City 44% | |
| 2016-10-14 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Bristol City 38% | |
| 2016-03-05 | 0–2 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2015-10-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Cardiff 55% | |
| 2013-02-16 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 64% | |
| 2012-08-25 | 4–2 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 41% | |
| 2012-03-10 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 45% | |
| 2011-08-14 | 3–1 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2011-01-01 | 3–0 | Bristol City +3 | Bristol City 36% | |
| 2010-10-16 | 3–2 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 55% | |
| 2010-01-26 | 0–6 | Cardiff +6 | Bristol City 43% |