Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | 3–1 | Bristol Rovers +2 | Bristol Rovers 44% | |
| 2024-10-05 | 1–3 | Bristol Rovers +2 | Burton 41% | |
| 2024-02-10 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Bristol Rovers 49% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 4–1 | Burton +3 | Burton 43% | |
| 2023-02-18 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Bristol Rovers 46% | |
| 2022-08-06 | 0–4 | Bristol Rovers +4 | Burton 47% | |
| 2021-03-02 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 44% | |
| 2020-10-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Bristol Rovers 47% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 48% | |
| 2019-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Bristol Rovers 36% | |
| 2018-10-13 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 50% | |
| 2014-02-21 | 2–0 | Bristol Rovers +2 | Bristol Rovers 38% | |
| 2013-11-23 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 50% | |
| 2013-03-02 | 3–0 | Bristol Rovers +3 | Burton 38% | |
| 2012-10-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 52% | |
| 2012-04-14 | 7–1 | Bristol Rovers +6 | Bristol Rovers 50% | |
| 2011-10-22 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 42% |