Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-04-18 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 52% | |
| 2024-12-21 | 2–1 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 58% | |
| 2023-02-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 70% | |
| 2022-08-12 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Burnley 41% | |
| 2022-04-30 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 37% | |
| 2022-02-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 46% | |
| 2020-06-25 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 43% | |
| 2019-11-23 | 0–3 | Burnley +3 | Watford 46% | |
| 2019-01-19 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 59% | |
| 2018-08-19 | 1–3 | Watford +2 | Burnley 41% | |
| 2018-04-07 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 37% | |
| 2017-12-09 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 47% | |
| 2017-02-04 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 41% | |
| 2016-09-26 | 2–0 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 39% | |
| 2014-04-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 37% | |
| 2013-12-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 52% | |
| 2013-03-29 | 3–3 | Draw | Watford 56% | |
| 2012-12-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 38% | |
| 2012-03-03 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 40% | |
| 2011-08-06 | 2–2 | Draw | Burnley 46% | |
| 2011-02-12 | 1–3 | Burnley +2 | Watford 42% | |
| 2010-11-13 | 3–2 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 52% |