Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | 3–1 | Charlton +2 | Charlton 62% | |
| 2024-11-26 | 0–1 | Charlton +1 | Charlton 37% | |
| 2024-01-20 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 41% | |
| 2023-12-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Charlton 51% | |
| 2023-04-10 | 3–2 | Charlton +1 | Charlton 52% | |
| 2022-11-12 | 3–3 | Draw | Charlton 37% | |
| 2022-03-19 | 2–0 | Charlton +2 | Charlton 47% | |
| 2021-11-13 | 0–1 | Charlton +1 | Burton 43% | |
| 2021-02-23 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Charlton 70% | |
| 2020-11-24 | 4–2 | Burton +2 | Charlton 62% | |
| 2019-03-12 | 2–1 | Charlton +1 | Charlton 47% | |
| 2018-11-27 | 1–2 | Charlton +1 | Burton 44% |