Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Port Vale 45% | |
| 2025-08-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 47% | |
| 2024-03-23 | 0–1 | Port Vale +1 | Burton 48% | |
| 2023-09-19 | 2–3 | Burton +1 | Port Vale 51% | |
| 2023-03-18 | 2–3 | Burton +1 | Port Vale 48% | |
| 2022-08-20 | 0–2 | Port Vale +2 | Burton 43% | |
| 2016-03-19 | 0–4 | Burton +4 | Port Vale 39% | |
| 2015-10-24 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 44% | |
| 2013-04-05 | 7–1 | Port Vale +6 | Port Vale 46% | |
| 2012-10-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 37% | |
| 2012-03-06 | 3–0 | Port Vale +3 | Port Vale 50% | |
| 2011-08-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 44% | |
| 2011-01-03 | 2–1 | Port Vale +1 | Port Vale 49% | |
| 2010-11-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 36% | |
| 2010-02-06 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 43% | |
| 2010-01-19 | 3–1 | Port Vale +2 | Port Vale 44% |