Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 44% | |
| 2025-11-04 | 2–2 | Draw | Rotherham 46% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 4–2 | Burton +2 | Rotherham 42% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Rotherham 52% | |
| 2022-04-19 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Rotherham 48% | |
| 2021-12-11 | 3–1 | Rotherham +2 | Rotherham 62% | |
| 2020-02-01 | 3–2 | Rotherham +1 | Rotherham 54% | |
| 2019-08-17 | 0–1 | Rotherham +1 | Burton 43% | |
| 2016-12-29 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Rotherham 39% | |
| 2016-12-03 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 51% | |
| 2013-02-09 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 43% | |
| 2012-08-18 | 3–0 | Rotherham +3 | Rotherham 47% | |
| 2012-02-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 40% | |
| 2011-10-08 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Rotherham 45% | |
| 2011-02-26 | 2–4 | Rotherham +2 | Burton 42% | |
| 2010-09-11 | 3–3 | Draw | Rotherham 44% | |
| 2010-02-27 | 0–1 | Rotherham +1 | Burton 46% |