Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Shrewsbury 38% | |
| 2024-11-09 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 46% | |
| 2023-12-29 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 47% | |
| 2023-08-15 | 2–1 | Shrewsbury +1 | Shrewsbury 47% | |
| 2023-01-14 | 0–4 | Shrewsbury +4 | Burton 41% | |
| 2022-09-24 | 2–1 | Shrewsbury +1 | Shrewsbury 48% | |
| 2022-02-26 | 0–2 | Shrewsbury +2 | Burton 47% | |
| 2021-08-07 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Shrewsbury 44% | |
| 2021-03-23 | 1–2 | Shrewsbury +1 | Burton 39% | |
| 2020-11-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Shrewsbury 47% | |
| 2019-08-24 | 0–0 | Draw | Shrewsbury 40% | |
| 2019-02-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Shrewsbury 39% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 46% | |
| 2016-01-23 | 1–2 | Shrewsbury +1 | Burton 57% | |
| 2015-08-29 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Shrewsbury 43% | |
| 2015-01-03 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 36% | |
| 2014-11-29 | 1–0 | Shrewsbury +1 | Shrewsbury 53% | |
| 2012-03-10 | 1–0 | Shrewsbury +1 | Shrewsbury 60% | |
| 2011-08-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 41% | |
| 2011-02-01 | 3–0 | Shrewsbury +3 | Shrewsbury 45% | |
| 2011-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 41% | |
| 2010-01-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 43% |