Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | 5–2 | Plymouth +3 | Cardiff 39% | |
| 2025-08-30 | 4–0 | Cardiff +4 | Cardiff 50% | |
| 2025-02-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Plymouth 42% | |
| 2024-10-19 | 5–0 | Cardiff +5 | Cardiff 38% | |
| 2024-01-20 | 3–1 | Plymouth +2 | Plymouth 45% | |
| 2023-12-26 | 2–2 | Draw | Cardiff 46% |