Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | 2–1 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 59% | |
| 2024-08-10 | 0–2 | Sunderland +2 | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2024-03-29 | 0–2 | Sunderland +2 | Cardiff 41% | |
| 2023-09-24 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Sunderland 50% | |
| 2023-04-10 | 0–1 | Sunderland +1 | Cardiff 37% | |
| 2022-11-05 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Sunderland 48% | |
| 2018-01-13 | 4–0 | Cardiff +4 | Cardiff 53% | |
| 2017-09-23 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Sunderland 42% | |
| 2014-04-27 | 4–0 | Sunderland +4 | Sunderland 53% | |
| 2013-12-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Cardiff 41% |