Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-04 | 1–4 | Chelsea +3 | Aston Villa 41% | |
| 2025-12-27 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Chelsea 44% | |
| 2025-02-22 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 39% | |
| 2024-12-01 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 53% | |
| 2024-04-27 | 2–2 | Draw | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2023-09-24 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Chelsea 38% | |
| 2023-04-01 | 0–2 | Aston Villa +2 | Chelsea 56% | |
| 2022-10-16 | 0–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2021-12-26 | 1–3 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 50% | |
| 2021-09-11 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 65% | |
| 2021-05-23 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Chelsea 52% | |
| 2020-12-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 60% | |
| 2020-06-21 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 52% | |
| 2019-12-04 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2016-04-02 | 0–4 | Chelsea +4 | Chelsea 62% | |
| 2015-10-17 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 70% | |
| 2015-02-07 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2014-09-27 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 75% | |
| 2014-03-15 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Chelsea 62% | |
| 2013-08-21 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 62% | |
| 2013-05-11 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 49% | |
| 2012-12-23 | 8–0 | Chelsea +8 | Chelsea 59% | |
| 2012-03-31 | 2–4 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2011-12-31 | 1–3 | Aston Villa +2 | Chelsea 63% | |
| 2011-01-02 | 3–3 | Draw | Chelsea 65% | |
| 2010-10-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 49% | |
| 2010-03-27 | 7–1 | Chelsea +6 | Chelsea 48% |