Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 75% | |
| 2025-11-22 | 0–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 51% | |
| 2024-03-30 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 69% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 1–4 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 37% | |
| 2022-03-05 | 0–4 | Chelsea +4 | Chelsea 59% | |
| 2021-11-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 74% | |
| 2021-01-31 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 60% | |
| 2020-10-31 | 0–3 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2020-01-11 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2019-10-26 | 2–4 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 51% | |
| 2019-04-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 69% | |
| 2018-10-28 | 0–4 | Chelsea +4 | Chelsea 57% | |
| 2018-04-19 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 39% | |
| 2017-08-12 | 2–3 | Burnley +1 | Chelsea 68% | |
| 2017-02-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 56% | |
| 2016-08-27 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 58% | |
| 2015-02-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 79% | |
| 2014-08-18 | 1–3 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 50% | |
| 2010-01-30 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Burnley 36% |