Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-25 | 4–0 | Chelsea +4 | Chelsea 76% | |
| 2023-02-18 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Chelsea 69% | |
| 2022-08-30 | 2–1 | Southampton +1 | Chelsea 52% | |
| 2022-04-09 | 0–6 | Chelsea +6 | Chelsea 53% | |
| 2021-10-02 | 3–1 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 69% | |
| 2021-02-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2020-10-17 | 3–3 | Draw | Chelsea 57% | |
| 2019-12-26 | 0–2 | Southampton +2 | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2019-10-06 | 1–4 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2019-01-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 72% | |
| 2018-10-07 | 0–3 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 52% | |
| 2018-04-14 | 2–3 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 51% | |
| 2017-12-16 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 74% | |
| 2017-04-25 | 4–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 68% | |
| 2016-10-30 | 0–2 | Chelsea +2 | Southampton 40% | |
| 2016-02-27 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 36% | |
| 2015-10-03 | 1–3 | Southampton +2 | Chelsea 59% | |
| 2015-03-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 63% | |
| 2014-12-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 48% | |
| 2014-01-01 | 0–3 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2013-12-01 | 3–1 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 59% | |
| 2013-03-30 | 2–1 | Southampton +1 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2013-01-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 67% |