Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | 2–3 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 39% | |
| 2025-08-16 | 5–0 | MK Dons +5 | MK Dons 43% | |
| 2025-03-22 | 0–1 | MK Dons +1 | Cheltenham 55% | |
| 2024-11-16 | 3–2 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 40% | |
| 2023-04-15 | 2–2 | Draw | MK Dons 47% | |
| 2022-10-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Cheltenham 38% | |
| 2022-03-08 | 3–1 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 59% | |
| 2021-09-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Cheltenham 36% | |
| 2018-12-26 | 3–1 | Cheltenham +2 | MK Dons 40% | |
| 2018-10-06 | 3–0 | MK Dons +3 | MK Dons 59% |