Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 2–2 | Draw | MK Dons 44% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Chesterfield 44% | |
| 2025-01-01 | 1–2 | MK Dons +1 | Chesterfield 47% | |
| 2024-12-03 | 3–0 | MK Dons +3 | MK Dons 46% | |
| 2017-01-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Chesterfield 38% | |
| 2016-11-22 | 2–3 | Chesterfield +1 | MK Dons 52% | |
| 2015-03-03 | 1–2 | Chesterfield +1 | MK Dons 56% | |
| 2014-08-19 | 0–1 | MK Dons +1 | Chesterfield 41% | |
| 2012-03-17 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 48% | |
| 2011-08-20 | 6–2 | MK Dons +4 | MK Dons 55% |