Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 0–4 | Coventry +4 | Coventry 51% | |
| 2025-10-25 | 3–1 | Coventry +2 | Coventry 57% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 2–1 | Coventry +1 | Coventry 46% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 46% | |
| 2024-03-09 | 1–2 | Coventry +1 | Coventry 37% | |
| 2023-09-02 | 3–3 | Draw | Coventry 47% | |
| 2023-04-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Coventry 47% | |
| 2022-11-05 | 0–1 | Coventry +1 | Watford 49% | |
| 2021-02-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 55% | |
| 2020-11-07 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 74% | |
| 2012-03-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 53% | |
| 2011-08-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Coventry 43% | |
| 2011-04-02 | 2–0 | Coventry +2 | Watford 38% | |
| 2010-08-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Watford 47% | |
| 2010-05-02 | 0–4 | Watford +4 | Coventry 48% |