Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-09 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-30 | 0–5 | Derby +5 | Bristol City 48% | |
| 2025-08-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 38% | |
| 2025-01-04 | 1–0 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 51% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 3–0 | Derby +3 | Derby 38% | |
| 2022-04-23 | 1–3 | Bristol City +2 | Derby 48% | |
| 2021-12-04 | 1–0 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 42% | |
| 2021-01-30 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Bristol City 36% | |
| 2020-11-21 | 1–0 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 55% | |
| 2020-02-12 | 3–2 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 44% | |
| 2019-08-20 | 1–2 | Bristol City +1 | Derby 47% | |
| 2019-04-27 | 0–2 | Derby +2 | Bristol City 43% | |
| 2018-12-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 52% | |
| 2018-01-19 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 47% | |
| 2017-09-16 | 4–1 | Bristol City +3 | Bristol City 45% | |
| 2017-02-11 | 3–3 | Draw | Derby 58% | |
| 2016-09-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Bristol City 46% | |
| 2016-04-19 | 2–3 | Derby +1 | Derby 42% | |
| 2015-12-15 | 4–0 | Derby +4 | Derby 63% | |
| 2013-03-29 | 3–0 | Derby +3 | Derby 50% | |
| 2012-12-15 | 0–2 | Derby +2 | Derby 37% | |
| 2012-03-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 37% | |
| 2011-12-10 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Derby 43% | |
| 2011-04-30 | 0–2 | Bristol City +2 | Derby 41% | |
| 2010-12-11 | 2–0 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 39% | |
| 2010-04-24 | 2–1 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 42% |