Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2024-01-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 40% | |
| 2023-12-21 | 3–1 | Derby +2 | Derby 53% | |
| 2023-02-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 58% | |
| 2022-09-13 | 2–0 | Lincoln +2 | Derby 36% |