Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | 2–1 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 44% | |
| 2025-12-20 | 3–0 | Exeter +3 | Exeter 41% | |
| 2025-04-01 | 1–2 | Exeter +1 | Barnsley 44% | |
| 2024-12-14 | 1–2 | Barnsley +1 | Exeter 44% | |
| 2024-01-27 | 1–2 | Exeter +1 | Barnsley 63% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 0–1 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 37% | |
| 2023-03-28 | 3–1 | Exeter +2 | Barnsley 45% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 0–2 | Exeter +2 | Barnsley 53% |