Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 1–5 | Bolton +4 | Exeter 38% | |
| 2025-12-13 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 53% | |
| 2025-01-04 | 1–2 | Bolton +1 | Exeter 40% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 0–2 | Exeter +2 | Bolton 50% | |
| 2024-03-09 | 2–2 | Draw | Bolton 51% | |
| 2023-11-25 | 7–0 | Bolton +7 | Bolton 65% | |
| 2023-04-07 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 40% | |
| 2022-12-17 | 2–0 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 51% | |
| 2021-05-01 | 1–2 | Exeter +1 | Bolton 45% | |
| 2021-01-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Exeter 53% |