Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-27 | 1–2 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 37% | |
| 2023-09-23 | 3–0 | Oxford Utd +3 | Oxford Utd 46% | |
| 2023-01-01 | 0–1 | Exeter +1 | Oxford Utd 50% | |
| 2022-10-15 | 2–4 | Oxford Utd +2 | Exeter 45% | |
| 2016-02-23 | 1–4 | Oxford Utd +3 | Oxford Utd 40% | |
| 2015-12-26 | 3–0 | Oxford Utd +3 | Oxford Utd 54% | |
| 2015-01-24 | 2–2 | Draw | Oxford Utd 44% | |
| 2014-09-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Exeter 42% | |
| 2014-01-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Exeter 36% | |
| 2013-10-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Oxford Utd 47% | |
| 2012-12-26 | 1–3 | Oxford Utd +2 | Exeter 45% | |
| 2012-09-08 | 2–4 | Exeter +2 | Oxford Utd 42% |