Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-27 | 3–0 | Fleetwood +3 | Fleetwood 46% | |
| 2023-09-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 45% | |
| 2023-02-04 | 2–3 | Burton +1 | Fleetwood 52% | |
| 2022-10-04 | 0–1 | Fleetwood +1 | Burton 39% | |
| 2022-03-12 | 3–2 | Burton +1 | Burton 47% | |
| 2021-10-19 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Fleetwood 50% | |
| 2021-04-27 | 5–2 | Burton +3 | Burton 39% | |
| 2020-09-12 | 2–1 | Fleetwood +1 | Fleetwood 46% | |
| 2020-01-11 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 43% | |
| 2019-10-19 | 4–1 | Fleetwood +3 | Fleetwood 40% | |
| 2019-02-23 | 0–1 | Fleetwood +1 | Burton 51% | |
| 2018-12-15 | 1–0 | Fleetwood +1 | Fleetwood 39% | |
| 2016-03-12 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 51% | |
| 2015-10-17 | 4–0 | Fleetwood +4 | Fleetwood 38% | |
| 2014-05-26 | 0–1 | Fleetwood +1 | Burton 43% | |
| 2014-01-25 | 2–4 | Fleetwood +2 | Burton 44% | |
| 2013-08-17 | 2–3 | Burton +1 | Fleetwood 42% | |
| 2013-02-16 | 0–4 | Burton +4 | Fleetwood 42% | |
| 2012-08-25 | 0–1 | Fleetwood +1 | Burton 47% |