Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Grimsby 44% | |
| 2026-03-17 | 1–0 | Grimsby +1 | Grimsby 46% | |
| 2026-01-01 | 0–1 | Grimsby +1 | Fleetwood 49% | |
| 2025-02-22 | 2–1 | Grimsby +1 | Fleetwood 37% | |
| 2024-08-10 | 1–0 | Fleetwood +1 | Fleetwood 52% |