Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 37% | |
| 2025-11-29 | 2–1 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 41% | |
| 2025-03-29 | 2–4 | Fleetwood +2 | Fleetwood 38% | |
| 2025-01-21 | 2–1 | Fleetwood +1 | Fleetwood 53% | |
| 2023-04-22 | 1–0 | Fleetwood +1 | Fleetwood 49% | |
| 2022-12-10 | 1–2 | Fleetwood +1 | MK Dons 45% | |
| 2022-02-08 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 38% | |
| 2021-09-28 | 3–3 | Draw | MK Dons 48% | |
| 2021-05-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Fleetwood 44% | |
| 2021-01-19 | 3–1 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 40% | |
| 2019-10-26 | 1–0 | Fleetwood +1 | Fleetwood 53% | |
| 2018-02-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Fleetwood 49% | |
| 2017-11-11 | 1–0 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 39% | |
| 2017-02-18 | 0–1 | Fleetwood +1 | MK Dons 40% | |
| 2016-09-24 | 1–4 | MK Dons +3 | Fleetwood 43% | |
| 2015-04-14 | 0–3 | MK Dons +3 | MK Dons 43% | |
| 2014-10-21 | 2–1 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 56% |