Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-05 | 0–3 | Bolton +3 | Bolton 40% | |
| 2021-10-23 | 2–2 | Draw | Bolton 44% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 5–0 | Gillingham +5 | Gillingham 45% | |
| 2017-03-14 | 0–4 | Bolton +4 | Bolton 40% | |
| 2016-12-12 | 4–0 | Bolton +4 | Bolton 54% |