Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 0–1 | Grimsby +1 | Notts County 47% | |
| 2025-12-13 | 0–2 | Notts County +2 | Grimsby 45% | |
| 2025-03-11 | 0–2 | Notts County +2 | Grimsby 37% | |
| 2024-08-22 | 4–1 | Notts County +3 | Notts County 46% | |
| 2024-01-13 | 5–5 | Draw | Grimsby 39% | |
| 2023-08-12 | 3–2 | Notts County +1 | Notts County 40% | |
| 2019-04-27 | 2–1 | Notts County +1 | Notts County 40% | |
| 2018-12-22 | 4–0 | Grimsby +4 | Grimsby 47% | |
| 2018-04-28 | 2–1 | Grimsby +1 | Notts County 47% | |
| 2017-12-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Notts County 52% | |
| 2017-01-21 | 2–0 | Grimsby +2 | Grimsby 50% | |
| 2016-09-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Notts County 49% | |
| 2010-02-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Notts County 52% | |
| 2010-02-06 | 0–1 | Notts County +1 | Grimsby 38% |