Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 70% | |
| 2017-01-22 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 79% | |
| 2016-10-01 | 0–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2015-03-22 | 2–3 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 61% | |
| 2014-12-13 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 75% | |
| 2014-01-11 | 0–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 55% | |
| 2013-08-18 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 65% | |
| 2010-02-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 36% |