Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | 3–3 | Draw | Ipswich 44% | |
| 2025-12-10 | 1–0 | Ipswich +1 | Ipswich 55% | |
| 2024-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Ipswich 39% | |
| 2023-08-12 | 2–0 | Ipswich +2 | Ipswich 43% | |
| 2019-02-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 45% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 66% |