Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | 0–4 | Leeds +4 | Leeds 46% | |
| 2024-10-22 | 2–1 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 53% | |
| 2024-03-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Leeds 51% | |
| 2023-09-23 | 3–0 | Leeds +3 | Leeds 49% | |
| 2022-04-09 | 0–3 | Leeds +3 | Watford 41% | |
| 2021-10-02 | 1–0 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 45% | |
| 2015-02-28 | 2–3 | Watford +1 | Watford 39% | |
| 2014-08-23 | 4–1 | Watford +3 | Watford 50% | |
| 2014-04-08 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 57% | |
| 2013-12-07 | 3–3 | Draw | Leeds 46% | |
| 2013-05-04 | 1–2 | Leeds +1 | Watford 57% | |
| 2012-11-10 | 1–6 | Watford +5 | Leeds 50% | |
| 2012-03-31 | 0–2 | Watford +2 | Leeds 46% | |
| 2011-12-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Leeds 36% | |
| 2011-04-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Leeds 45% | |
| 2010-08-28 | 0–1 | Leeds +1 | Watford 51% |