Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 74% | |
| 2024-11-23 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 51% | |
| 2023-03-11 | 1–3 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 40% | |
| 2022-08-27 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 61% | |
| 2022-05-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 65% | |
| 2021-11-20 | 0–3 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 46% | |
| 2021-05-18 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 54% | |
| 2021-01-19 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 40% | |
| 2020-02-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Leicester 44% | |
| 2019-08-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 57% | |
| 2019-05-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 43% | |
| 2018-12-22 | 0–1 | Leicester +1 | Chelsea 66% | |
| 2018-01-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2017-09-09 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 52% | |
| 2017-01-14 | 0–3 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 49% | |
| 2016-10-15 | 3–0 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 51% | |
| 2016-05-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 38% | |
| 2015-12-14 | 2–1 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 43% | |
| 2015-04-29 | 1–3 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 62% | |
| 2014-08-23 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 67% |