Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 45% | |
| 2025-12-26 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Leicester 49% | |
| 2024-02-10 | 1–2 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 56% | |
| 2023-11-25 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 69% | |
| 2022-05-15 | 1–5 | Leicester +4 | Leicester 47% | |
| 2021-11-28 | 4–2 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 49% | |
| 2020-06-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Leicester 43% | |
| 2019-12-04 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 67% | |
| 2019-03-03 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 51% | |
| 2018-12-01 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 44% | |
| 2018-01-20 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 53% | |
| 2017-12-26 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Leicester 36% | |
| 2017-05-06 | 3–0 | Leicester +3 | Leicester 51% | |
| 2016-11-19 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 40% | |
| 2016-03-05 | 0–1 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 40% | |
| 2015-11-07 | 2–1 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 50% | |
| 2014-02-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Leicester 58% | |
| 2013-11-02 | 0–3 | Leicester +3 | Watford 43% | |
| 2013-05-12 | 3–1 | Watford +2 | Watford 48% | |
| 2013-05-09 | 1–0 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 39% | |
| 2013-04-26 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Leicester 39% | |
| 2012-11-03 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 36% | |
| 2012-02-14 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 37% | |
| 2011-10-19 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 53% | |
| 2011-04-25 | 4–2 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 45% | |
| 2010-12-04 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 43% | |
| 2010-04-17 | 4–1 | Leicester +3 | Leicester 52% |