Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-29 | 0–1 | Lincoln +1 | Bolton 42% | |
| 2026-02-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Lincoln 51% | |
| 2025-08-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Bolton 43% | |
| 2025-04-21 | 4–2 | Lincoln +2 | Lincoln 43% | |
| 2024-12-29 | 3–0 | Bolton +3 | Bolton 45% | |
| 2023-12-26 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 39% | |
| 2023-08-05 | 3–0 | Bolton +3 | Bolton 47% | |
| 2022-12-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Lincoln 40% | |
| 2022-10-01 | 2–0 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 47% | |
| 2022-02-22 | 3–1 | Bolton +2 | Bolton 48% | |
| 2021-08-17 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Lincoln 52% | |
| 2020-01-14 | 5–1 | Lincoln +4 | Lincoln 52% |