Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-21 | 3–1 | Luton +2 | Bristol City 40% | |
| 2024-12-26 | 1–0 | Bristol City +1 | Bristol City 46% | |
| 2023-03-15 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Luton 47% | |
| 2022-08-16 | 2–0 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 44% | |
| 2022-01-25 | 2–1 | Luton +1 | Luton 53% | |
| 2021-09-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Bristol City 44% | |
| 2021-04-25 | 2–3 | Luton +1 | Bristol City 39% | |
| 2020-12-29 | 2–1 | Luton +1 | Luton 44% | |
| 2019-12-29 | 3–0 | Bristol City +3 | Bristol City 56% | |
| 2019-10-19 | 3–0 | Luton +3 | Bristol City 38% |