Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 54% | |
| 2025-08-30 | 0–3 | Luton +3 | Luton 38% | |
| 2019-04-27 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Luton 36% | |
| 2018-12-22 | 2–0 | Luton +2 | Luton 49% | |
| 2015-04-11 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 39% | |
| 2014-11-22 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 45% |