Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2025-09-27 | 5–1 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2024-01-31 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 86% | |
| 2023-08-11 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2022-04-02 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2021-10-16 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2021-02-03 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2020-11-28 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2020-06-22 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2019-12-03 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 66% | |
| 2019-04-28 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2018-10-20 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 81% | |
| 2018-02-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2017-10-21 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2017-01-02 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 66% | |
| 2016-11-26 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 52% | |
| 2015-03-14 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2014-12-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2010-04-03 | 1–6 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 44% |